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Covered Call
Trade Management
Calculator
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Manage
open covered call trades for the maximum profit! |
Our
Trade Management Calculator™
lets you actually manage live covered call trades.
Should you close the trade, or roll up, or roll down,
or roll out? Or should you stand pat? Our TM Calculator
won't make trading decisions for you, but it will show
you where the money is in covered calls. Our calculator
takes you all the way through the trade. And it gives
you price updates in an instant, with just a mouse click.

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The
calculator's First Row
shows your potential return from buying shares of stock
and writing the covered call, both if the call is not
exercised and if it is exercised. The Second
Row shows the result if you buy back the
call and just sell the shares of stock. The Third
and Fourth Rows
show the potential results if you were to buy back the
original call, but keep the stock and sell a call with
a different striked price and/or expiration month (known
as "rollovers" or "rolls"). Our web-based
(no software to download) TM Calculator pops up conveniently
in its own window and stores up to 24 different covered
call positions.
Here
is a covered call example using U.S. Steel (X), showing
the effect of closing the trade and the potential results
of a couple of different rolls:

NOTE: All returns
are WITHOUT margin and before brokerage commissions
and costs.
First
Row: the Covered Call Buy-Write
Assume
that with 30 days remaining before option expiration,
you buy X stock at $25/share and sell the current-month
$30 call for a premium of $2, which effectively reduces
your cost basis in the stock to $23. On the left side
of the calculator, we enter the stock and call symbol,
the $25 stock purchase price and the premium received
for selling the call. To get calculations, hit the
TAB button or just click anywhere on the right side
of the calculator.

This
buy-write covered call trade sets up an 8.7%
flat return (the return if the call is not exercised
and the stock price remains the same) of $2.00
on your $25 stock buy, but your return will be
$7.00/share if the call is exercised, a 30.4%
return. Why is the if-called return so high? Because
you received $2.00 for selling the call, plus you would
make a profit of $5/share if the stock is called away
(sold) at the call's $30 strike price.
Second
Row: the Close
Four
days after entering the trade, the stock has risen to
$32, and you are likely to make the maximum (if-called)
possible profit in the position. Could you close the
position at an acceptable profit now? The TM calculator
will tell you immediately. Just click the update
[U]
button, and the calculator shows you the result of closing
the position. Or you can enter the prices manually,
if you prefer.

The
calculator shows that if you buy back the $30 call,
which will cost $3.20, and sell the stock for its current
$32 price, your immediate profit on closing the trade
would be a respectable $5.80
per share, a blazing return of
25.2% for four days! This is a lower
profit, perhaps, than could be gotten by waiting for
expiration and letting the stock be called away at $7.00.
However, you would get the $5.80 return immediately
instead of waiting for the stock to be called away,
which might not occur until expiration and which is
weeks away.
And
- there is never any guarantee the stock will
be called away; the stock could pull back under $30
by expiration, meaning the $30 calls would not be exercised.
Only you can decide which course is right for you: close
for the sure profit (and write another covered call)
or hang in for the potentially bigger profit.
Analysis:
You received $2.00 for selling the call, bought the
call back for $3.20, and made a profit of $7 per share
when you sold the stock at $32. ($2.00 - $3.20 + $7
= $5.80).
The
Second Row shows that you can close the position for
a substantial, immediate profit. But - could you improve
your position to extract even more profit, or perhaps
more security? It is possible to roll
the calls, which
means to buy back the calls you sold and sell calls
with a different exercise price, or different
expiration month, or both.
Third
Row: the First Roll
Suppose
you are a bit bearish on the stock short term; you are
concerned that the stock has spiked up and will pull
back. Let's look at the possibility of rolling
down to the $25 calls. You can
buy back the original $30 call at a cost of $3.20 and
sell the lower-strike $25 call in the same expiration
month for an $8.75 premium.
Just
click the update
[U]
button, and the calculator shows you the potential result
of the roll. Or you can enter the prices manually, if
you prefer.

Your
cumulative return on the transaction if called out at
$25 would be $7.55
per share, for a 32.8%
return, even though if called out you will sell the
stock at the lower price of $25.
Analysis:
This shows the power of covered calls! You received
$2.00 for selling the call, bought the call back for
$3.20, then sold the $25 call for $8.75 ($2.00 - $3.20
+ $8.75 = $7.55).This roll down lowered cost basis
$5.55, from $23 to $17.45, which gives much more downside
protection than in the unadjusted
position.
Fourth
Row: the Second Roll
On
the other hand, if you were short-term bullish, you
might prefer to roll
up instead of rolling down. Suppose
you buy back the original $30 call and sell the $35
call in the same expiration month for a $3.00 premium
(that is, roll up to the $35 call). Just click
the update
[U]
button, and the calculator shows you the potential result
of the roll. Or you can enter the prices manually, if
you prefer.
If
the stock price does not change (remains at $32) by
expiration, you would have a potential profit to date
of $8.80
or 38.2%.

Analysis:
You received $2.00 for selling the call, bought the
call back for $3.20, then sold the $35 call for $3.00
($2.00 - $3.20 + $3.00 = $1.80). Although your actual
profit from selling and buying back calls to date
is $1.80, the calculator shows you
a profit of $8.80, because it includes the $7.00
of potential profit contained in the position due
to the stock's rise from $25 to $32. Should the stock
pull back before expiration, that $7.00 in potential
profit will shrink.Indeed, if the stock pulls back
to $25, it will all evaporate, though you will still
have the $1.80 in net call premium realized to date.
This
roll up positioned you to make a killing on a hot
stock, but did not lower your breakeven point (cost
basis).Note that you had $2.00 in net premium on the
trade open, but now are ahead only $1.80 in net call
premium. But because we have only modestly increased
your cost basis, this roll is quite sensible. But
suppose this roll up had added $2.00 to your cost
basis ($25, instead of $23.20)? These are the kinds
of decisions that are presented to covered call writers.
Our calculator
simply enables you to make lightning-fast decisions.
If
the stock is above $35 at expiration
and is sold at $35, you would realize an additional
$5.00 in profit ($35 strike - $30 strike, for a total
return of $11.80,
or a staggering 51.3%).
Of course, there is no guarantee the stock will be
above the $35 strike at expiration and that you will
be called out at $35 - nor even that the stock will
hold its current $32 price. Notice that rolling up
increased cost basis slightly, from $23 to $23.20.
The stock could pull back before expiration, leaving
you high and dry in the $35 call with an increased
cost in the trade. Rolling the call up therefore is
a very bullish move.
Note:
You could also have rolled out to the next-month $25,
$30 or $35-strike calls, in each case bringing in more
premium than rolling to a different call
in the current month. Our calculator shows you the result
of every roll you enter.
So
which is the best strategy above?
There is no way to know for sure until trade conclusion.
But the TM Calculator shows you that you can immediately
close your position with a 25% profit and terminate
all trade risk, freeing your funds for the next trade.
If you are convinced the stock will continue to rise,
the roll up shown in the 4th Row offers even higher
potential returns, but those returns are in no way assured
- the stock could stall out or even pull back. And,
you have to stay in the trade much longer to get the
higher returns.
As
always, the choice of action belongs to the trader.
The TM Calculator simply gives you an instant profit
readout on trade closes and the potential results of
rolls. This is its power. And no one else on earth offers
such a calculator.
Auto-Update:
Automatically Update Prices with
a Mouse Click
Each row of the TM Calculator can be updated with a
click of the [U]
update button, which instantly refreshes your calculations
based on 20-minute delayed prices. In order for the
update to occur, the stock symbol and option symbol
must be entered on the 1st Row. For the automatic update
to work on the 3rd and 4th Rows, you must enter the
symbol of the calls to which you are considering a roll.
Position
Storage Fields: Holds 24 Trade
Positions
The stock fields on the bottom of the TM Calculator
automatically keep track of up to 24 different covered
call positions. All the data you enter for each stock
is stored for you to update and watch to determine if
it's time for you to change your position.
Calculator
Data: Import and Export Data
The calculator data can be stored as a text file on
your computer's desktop (default location). You can
import or export this text file, allowing you to synchronize
calculator data on different computers. Be sure to export
data after making a change in order to update the text
file on your desktop. |