| I
typically start my covered call process by looking
at the market, as described in approaching
the lists. I look at charts and get a feel for
direction. Then I look at the MM lists. This gives
me a feel for what important indices are doing - gives
me something to which I can compare a stock's MADI
and volatility. I'm looking to see where the strength
is at the time; and the weakness.
In order
to avoid going back and forth from the lists to the
MM list, I will note the MADI values for the following
indices on a notepad, along with 10-day and 30-day
volatilities.
| DOW
Jones Industrials |
largest
cap (the "stupid" index
but widely followed) |
| S&P
500 |
large
cap (the gold standard) |
| Nasdaq
100 |
largest-cap
techs (mostly tech bellwethers) |
| Nasdaq
Composite |
broad-market
tech index (reasonable tech barometer) |
| Russell
2000 |
broad-market
index (broadest of any of these) |
| VIX |
volatility
index |
Industry/Sector Performance
After
viewing market performance with the above indices,
I first sort the indicies by MADI, seeing if any industries
are showing more strength than the larger indices,
which can indicate a cluster of good trades. I also
look for industries faring worse, and avoid these.
While we still can find trades in a weak industry,
it certainly is not the first place to look.
I scan
the MM list, looking to see how different sectors
and industry indices are performing. If I see that
a particular industry or sector is currently strong
but not too overheated, I will also make a note of
that. Remember, my method of trade selection involves
putting as many of the odds as possible in my favor.
This is how we find high-probability
trades - those most likely to work.
Another
way to sort through industry performance is available
in our Research Page by clicking on the Ind. Rank
link at the top of the Research Page.
I don't
really use the VIX in trading much, but I like to
know where it is. It is rough gauge of premium available
at the time.
Once this
process is finished, I head over to CallWriter's
Global Select (Dividends) lists. Because
it short-cuts a lot of the necessary fundamental research.
Here's
more on using
the Market Measure List. |