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Covered
calls
are simple - buy the stock, sell call options (calls)
on the shares and pocket the premium, then sell the shares
to finalize the profit - too simple for some. In an option
spread you buy one call and sell another call (or
buy a put and sell another put), each with a different
strike price. The "spread" is the difference between
the two strike prices. In credit spreads (bear
call and bull put), the trade generates a credit to you
going in, but you are at risk for the total spread, which
is the difference between the two strikes, less the credit
received. In debit spreads, (bull call and bear
put), the trade creates a debit going in, but you stand
to make the amount of the net spread. A calendar spread
is one in which you sell a call or put for one month and
buy a call or put even further out.
In
fact, many traders find covered calls downright boring
and are attracted to the action of option spreads. We
don't find 3% to 5% monthly returns (36% to 60% annually)
from covered call writing to be boring, but that's beside
the point! The point is, how do they compare?
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Option
Spreads |
Covered
Calls |
| High
risk. Trading books tell you that the risk is
limited, because you can only lose the net debit
or the net spread, but it is very easy to lose 100%
of the money at risk. Isn't 100% considered high
risk? |
Limited
risk. While the entire net debit amount of the
trade is theoretically at risk, losses of over 10%
occur very seldom, and losses should not occur very
often for traders using the CallWriter Method. |
| Limited
return. In debit spreads the best case is to
make the net spread. In credit spreads, the maximum
profit is the net credit upon entering the trade.
Still, returns of 100% or more are possible - and
necessary to offset the inevitable large losses. |
Limited
return. You'll get the occasional really nice
hit on an OTM call, but covered call writing is
an income strategy. 3% to 5% a month is perfectly
acceptable to many traders, but does not compare
to the allure of option spreads. |
| Risk
Management. Little in the way of risk
management is possible. If the stock doesn't move
enough, time value eats you alive. |
Risk
Management. It is very easy to manage risk in
covered calls, starting with the kind of call (ITM,
ATM or OTM) you write. |
| Trade
Management. Very few options exist for
managing an option spread. If the stock moves
adversely, exiting or modifying the trade costs
a fortune and greatly increases your capital in
the trade.
' |
Trade
Management. Except in the case where a
stock drops hard in one day or overnight, there
are excellent techniques and tools for managing
trades, such as our proprietary Position Management
Calculator™. |
| Trade
Odds. OTM credit spreads win in 4 out
of 5 possible price moves, but all other credit
spreads and all debit spreads require a defined
price movement before expiration in order
to win. |
Trade
Odds. They are very good if you apply
a sound basic stragegy. As discussed below, covered
calls win in 4 of the 5 possible price movements. |
| Skill
level required. We consider the skill
level necessary to make consistent money in spreads
to be fairly high.
|
Skill
level required. Astonishingly little experience
and skill is required for profitable covered call
writing. We know from our members' experience that
discipline is far more important to covered calls
than raw skill |
The
answer to the question of covered calls vs. option
spreads ultimately depends on several things, principally
your perspective and taste for adventure. Option spreads
can create large profits but also large losses. You must
be an excellent technical analyst, however, to make consistent
money in spreads and should have an excellent understanding
of market dynamics. When the stock moves overnight against
a spread position, there is no way to get out of the spread
until the next trading day. You can only hope the stock
pulls back before expiration and gives you a chance to
ameliorate the loss.
Here
is an example of the problem: if you had a short $35/long
$40 bear call spread on Sepracor (SEPR) in the March
cycle when SEPR was $28, you would have gotten badly
hurt, because it gapped up $10 overnight to put the
spread underwater.
Spreads
can pose considerable danger for investors, especially
investors who lack trading experience and even more especially
for those who lack trade management experience. If the
stock moves adversely to you, spreads are almost impossible
to fix, either because the options become worthless, or
because the cost to buy back the short option rises dramatically.
In debit spreads, the debit is the maximum loss, but a
loss of 100% is still a huge loss! If that is not bad
enough, implied volatility can evaporate, leaving the
trader with options worth very little, so that no action
(except an Act of God) can save the trade.
Calendar
spreads do little to diminish the risk inherent to spreads.
First, a gapping stock can catch a calendar trader
just like any other.
Example:
buy the July 35 on a $28 stock and begin selling $30
calls against it each month. If the stock moves above
$28 the trade is in trouble, and a move (or worse, a
gap) above $35 would hand the trader a good spanking.
Second,
if the market moves away from the long calendar option
that you’re selling options against, you have to clear
the long calendar at a loss.
In
the above example, if the stock drops to $25, or $20,
how profitable will it be to sell options against a
long 35 call? The farther out a calendar is bought,
the greater the likelihood of a price move making the
long calendar irrelevant or painful.
Third,
if a trader buys a calendar at a point of high implied
volatility to sell other options against it, he is in
trouble if volatility implodes, because the premiums from
selling options every month against the calendar will
collapse, obviating the very reason he or she got into
the trade.
And
there's one more thing about spreads: if the trade moves
against you, it is always possible to wait for a pullback
or advance to remedy the situation, and these do happen.
But remember that when your short option has become an
ITM option, you are always at risk of being called out
and cementing the loss in place permanently.
I’m
not knocking spreads, because we understand them and like
them a lot, in their proper place and in the right situation.
But all spreads – calendars especially - require a specialized
approach to be traded successfully. Trading options is
not like trading stock; the dynamic is very different.
I also am aware that this discussion is highly simplified.
But nothing changes the fact that, while spreads offer
far higher returns than covered call writing, the option
spread still is a limited return strategy in which you
can easily lose 50% to 100% of the amount at risk.
Now,
let’s talk about covered calls. A stock can do 5 things
before option expiration:
1.
Move up significantly
2. Move up slightly
3. Move very little (essentially hold
its price)
4. Move down slightly
5. Move down significantly
Covered
calls win, or worse case break even, in all these movements
except #5, but it is usually possible through trade management
to greatly suppress losses even in the #5 situation. Our
trade picks were winning approximately 80% of the time
during 2001 - 2002, when the market was lousy, because
we made a lot of deeply in the money picks.
Spread
traders would argue that OTM bull put spreads win in all
five directions but #5, and that OTM bear call spreads
win in all but #1. That is true, but the risk in these
credit spreads is very high compared to the net credit
pocketed. But all other credit spreads and all debit spreads
win only if the stock makes the necessary price move and
does it before expiration. Time is on the covered call
writer's side but - except in OTM credit spreads - is
not on the spread trader's side. So you have to
ask yourself... in addition to all the other risks you
take in trading, do you want to add time to the
list?
We’ve
learned that people trade in ways that match their personalities.
Straight options trading can yield huge profits and huge
losses. Traders who like more "action" tend to prefer
straight option trades, or even just buying calls and
puts, to covered calls. My own observation is that traders
do better mastering covered call writing first, because
so many of its lessons transfer directly to options trading.
Put differently, anyone who can’t consistently win
at covered call writing has no business trading option
spreads.
Once
a covered call writer develops a solid trading record
and decides to spread his or er wings, the most profitable
thing to do – by far - is sell naked puts and naked calls.
If a trader is sharp enough to win consistently at option
spreads, naked writing is vastly more profitable, and
while naked writing poses huge risks theoretically, in
reality the risk is usually very manageable.
But
covered call writing can easily produce 36% to 60% a year
without using margin or rolling profits into new trades.
More aggressive traders who keep all their profits in
the market and use margin can actually double their trading
capital in a year. No kidding.
Can
spread writers do better? The really good traders who
are always in the market can, but few casual traders can
do better with spreads.
Consistent
trading success is what CallWriter is all about. We not
only show you the fattest trades, we teach you how to
analyze them and pick the ones with the highest combination
of return and safety. We also show you how to manage your
trades after you run them for maximum profitability. We
hope you've enjoyed our newsletter!

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Disclaimer
We
are not brokers, investment advisers or securities
analysts and do not recommend the purchase,
sale or holding of any security. Your use
of any information or strategy appearing in
this newsletter or on CallWriter.com is solely
at your own risk. We urge our newsletter subscribers
and CallWriter.com website members to do all
requisite and analysis and properly plan each
trade prior to making the trade and to manage
each trade effectively. Covered call and other
potential trades discussed in this newsletter
or on CallWriter.com do not constitute trading
recommendations by CallWriter or any other
person and are presented by solely for informational
and educational purposes. |
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