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May 21, 2003
What's the real
story on deep-in-the-money calls?
by John Brasher, CallWriter Publisher
| Studies consistently
have shown that most of the money is made by call buyers
on options that are at-the-money (ATM) or slightly
out-of-the-money (OTM). But Deeply OTM options pay
such a small return they are hardly worth the trouble. Buying
deep in-the-money (ITM) options also is risky. Consider
the long deeply ITM call: if the stock goes up, the call goes
up with it dollar for dollar. But if the stock falls, the
deep ITM call falls with it nearly dollar for dollar down
to the call's strike price. |
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So, who is making all the money?
Worse, when the stock price falls
below the call's strike, it becomes out of the money and the option
will have little value; and all of that will be time value.
| Example
1:When the stock is $25, you buy
the 20 Call for $5.30. You're only
paying $0.30 in time value, because $5.00 of the premium is
intrinsic value. If the stock falls to $20, the 20 Call
will be worth only pennies: all time value, no intrinsic value.
Example 2:
When the stock is $25, you sell
the 20 Call for $5.30.
Sounds like a big premium in your pocket, right? Not really!
You're only getting $0.30 in time value. If the stock falls
to $20, the 20 Call will be worth only pennies: all
time value, no intrinsic value. However, the $5.30 premium
protects against a drop to $19.70. |
Selling (not buying) deep ITM covered
options makes excellent sense, but if and only if
the premium includes lots of time value. The reason
is that time is the option writer's friend, because
time terminates his trade risk and locks in his profit from writing
the option. [We aren't fans of buying deeply ITM calls. It's
too big a gamble on the stock's movement. And if you are that sure
of a decline, buying a put one or two strikes below the stock price
would be much cheaper.]
Deeply ITM options usually are mostly, and sometimes
all, intrinsic value. Remember, the amount an option is in the money
is its intrinsic value. When the stock is $20, the 15 Call is $5
in the money. An option that is all intrinsic value is said to be
trading at parity. Many option books are written to make
it sound as though the intrinsic value is the "good" value
and that time value is flaky or undependable. Not so! It makes no
sense whatever to write covered calls where the options are at parity.
Why? Since most of the premium is intrinsic value, you are getting
paid with your own money! All covered call returns are calculated
on the amount of time value. In our example above where the
option was sold for $5.30, the return is the $0.30, not the $5!!
Finding a Deep ITM option with a a
high time value is like finding money on the sidewalk. The time
value portion of the ITM premium is your profit.
Selling the Deep ITM covered call (when it carries a lot
of time value) gives you both a high return and significant
downside protection if the stock drops. You should only write
deep ITM options that carry a high proportion of time value.
| Example: Stocks
A and B each are at $25: the 20 Call on Stock A is $5.30
($0.30 time value) and the 20 Call on Stock B is $6.00
($1.00 time value). All things being equal, the Stock B call
is a better return. Why? Suppose neither stock moves significantly
by expiration; both calls will be exercised, since they are
well in the money. The writer of the call
on Stock A nets a lousy 30 cents for his trouble (bought
$25, sells at $20, got $5.30 for the call), which is a 1.2%
return. You can see that, when he pocketed that $5.30 premium,
he was being paid with his own money, since it was all intrinsic
value. The writer of the call on
Stock B, however, nets $1.00 (also bought at
$25, sells at $20, but got $6.00 in premium), for a 4%
return. This writer pocketed $1.00 of the call buyer's money!
Deeply ITM options are wonderful if and only if there is lots
of time value there. |
Typically the return on an ITM covered call is
2% - 4% per month. This annualizes to as much as 48%
without compounding your profits through reinvestment.
This is a high return for what is considered a conservative strategy.
And it is for investors who are not interested in retaining the
stock in which they sell covered calls. (All trades should be
properly researched with appropriate stops in place.)
When calculating a return on an ITM covered call
you should ignore the intrinsic portion of the premium and calculate
your return based on the time value portion of the premium. If you
use lists or a covered call calculator, make certain that they calculates
only the time value as the return on the covered call. CallWriter's
Real Time Lists™ and Position Management Calculator™
are specifically design to show you the exact return you will receive
without margin. (Be aware that many lists on the web use
margin to inflate their returns.)
And our exclusive real-time Deep In the Money
lists are a great place to find these winning plays. Why? These
new lists only feature plays with lots of TIME VALUE, which is where
the real returns are for the deep in the money call writer. So when
you see fat returns on the new lists, they're REAL returns on your
dollars! And only CallWriter has them.
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DISCLAIMER:
We are not brokers, investment advisers or securities
analysts and do not recommend the purchase, sale
or holding of any security. Your use of any information
or strategy appearing in this newsletter or on
CallWriter.com is solely at your own risk. We
urge our newsletter subscribers and CallWriter.com
website members to do all requisite analysis and
properly plan each trade prior to making the trade
and to manage each trade effectively. Covered
call and other potential trades discussed in this
newsletter or on CallWriter.com do not constitute
trading recommendations by CallWriter or any other
person and are presented solely for informational
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