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October 10, 2003
Money Management
Vol. I:
How much money should you trade?
By John Brasher, CallWriter Publisher
| No trading-related
subject is more important than money management, since it
concerns protecting your money by active risk management.
And nothing is more central to money management than the questions
of how much money should you trade in the first place, and
how much money should you allocate per trade. This article
presents some plain-sense ideas on the amount of money covered
call investing requires and the extent to which you can and
should diversify into multiple trades. |
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Covered call
writing is an income generation trading strategy, not an investing
strategy. While it is possible to write calls on stocks that are
long-term investments, and many do this (including large mutual
funds), I consider covered writing to be trading. Part of money
management is deciding whether to trade at all, and if so how much
money to trade. Since I am not an investor, I will not speak to
how much of any portfolio should be invested in stocks for the medium
or long term.
I'm not an
expert on the subject of how much money anyone should invest or
trade, how to allocate trading capital among different trades, nor
even whether any particular individual should be trading at all.
Frankly, I'm not sure anyone really is an expert, except as to themselves.
Numerous books and innumerable articles have been written on the
subject, as well as the psychology of investing. The thoughts that
follow are presented to help traders assess what their buying
power requirements are to run covered call trades, based
upon our common-sense observations about covered call investing.
In the final analysis, you and only you can make the most informed
and rational decision about your money, precisely because it is
your mind, your experience, your fears and preconceptions, your
tolerance for risk, and your money.
That's why
the purpose of this article is not to tell you how much of your
net worth you should invest, nor whether you should -for example
- mortgage property to obtain trading capital (I'm not in favor
of that), nor whether you should be trading in the first place.
Since I am not an investment adviser, and don't want to be, it is
my duty to urge you to consult with your investment adviser or financial
consultant. Brokers, by the way, are not investment advisers nor
trained as such, and the input they can give you is very limited
under the law, so they tend to duck these questions. But be forewarned:
while you are free to consult with anyone on earth, the answers
to these questions can only come from you.
Since this
article is about covered call trading, before diving into money
management let's be sure we're talking apples and apples. A
covered call trade is a combination transaction that had
two legs: one is the sale of call options and the
other is the purchase of the underlying stock in order
to "cover" the calls. That is, once you sell call options you will
be obligated to deliver the underlying shares of stock if the calls
are exercised. By purchasing the underlying shares of stock at the
time of selling the calls, the shares "cover" your delivery obligation
in the event you are called out. If you sold call options without
owning the underlying stock, the calls would be naked. This kind
of covered call frequently is referred to as a "buy-write";
because you buy the stock and write the calls. Writing calls against
stock you already own is called an overwrite. It is common
to discuss covered call contracts in terms of the number of call
contracts sold. One who already owns the stock can of course write
calls against it to generate an income.
Suppose we
decided to write a covered call on XYZ Corporation (XYZ). We buy
the stock at $24 and write the current month's 25 Call for a $1.00
premium. Because we buy the stock at $24 and collect a $1.00 in
premium, the net cost per share (net debit) is $23. The trade
looks like this:
| Covered
Call Trade |
|
|
| Buy XYZ
shares |
|
-
24.00 |
| Sell
25 Calls |
|
+
1.00 |
| Net debit
(breakeven) |
|
-
23.00 |
The net
debit on the trade is the stock price paid less the call premium
received. We really should add trade costs in, as we do below, but
this essentially is the net debit on a covered call trade:
Net
Debit |
|
= |
Stock price
– Call
premium received |
|
|
|
|
| $23 |
|
= |
$24
–
$1.00 |
A standard
stock option contract is for the sale or purchase of 100 shares,
so you generally must buy 100 shares of the underlying stock in
order to cover a call contract. Thus covered call trades usually
must be run in round lots. Writing 4 covered call contracts, for
example, would require you to buy 400 shares of stock to cover the
calls sold (4 x 100). There are exceptions to the rule that an option
contract is 100 shares; these are known as non-standard contracts
and they occur due to reverse splits and other corporate reorganizations,
but the vast majority of option contracts relate to the standard
100 shares.
Example:
A covered call trade involving 4 contracts (4 x 100 = 400
shares) would be referrred to as a 4-contract trade. If the underlying
stock cost $10 and you wrote 4 call contracts against it, you
would need $4,000 ($10 x 4 contracts x 100 shares per contract),
less the premium amount received for the calls sold.
Covered Call
buying power requirements are dictated primarily by:
- The price
of the underlying stock,
- The premium
per share received, and
- The number
of call contracts written (number of shares bought)
It takes four
times as much buying power to write covered calls on a $40 stock
as a $10 stock. The number of contracts written has the same effect,
since it takes four times as much buying power to write 4 contracts
as 1 contract, since you must buy 4 times as many shares to cover
the calls..
First,
let's get straight the concept of buying power.
The inputs to figure the buying power needed for any trade are very
simple:
Buying
Power Needed |
|
= |
Net stock price
X no. of call contracts
X 100 |
The net
stock price is simply the stock price less the premium received
from writing the calls, plus the commissions. Suppose we decide
to write the current month 25 Call for a $1.00 premium on XYZ Corporation
(XYZ) when XYZ is trading at $24, and that our commission cost to
run the trade will be $30 total. We decide to write 5 contracts,
which would require us to buy 500 shares of XYZ. Here is the buying
power needed:
$11,560 |
|
= |
$23.06
($24.00 - 1.00 + 0.06)
X 5
X 100 |
We simply
took the $24 stock price, subtracted the $1.00 in premium we expect
to receive and added back the commission cost. The commission cost
is easy to figure. The total commission cost is $30. Writing just
one contract would spread the commission cost over just 100 shares,
and the cost to run the trade would be $0.30 per share ($30 ÷
100). But since we want to write 5 contracts, this lowers our commission
cost per share to just $0.06 ($30 ÷ 500), because
the $30 in commission is spread over 500 shares. If you don't want
to bother calculating trading costs, just use the net debit on the
trade of stock price less call premium. You should care about
trade costs, of course, which are covered in more detail in my Money
Management II article.
This makes
it sound a lot like a complicated formula, but it isn't. They're
just simple money inputs - your money. To figure actual costs, and
actual returns, you have to take commissions into account.
Margin.
Available margin (which is a loan from your stock
broker to buy securities) will increase your buying power, up
to double - the most margin the law allows. That is, the law will
allow the broker to loan you a maximum of half the stock's cost.
Margin increases your buying power, but its use also increases
your risk. Margin is not good or bad, of course, but in using
margin the rule is to never get your exposure too high. If you
have $50,000 in cash in an account, your broker might let you
buy $100,000 of stock, but that doesn't mean you should take on
that much exposure.
In this article
I'm speaking in terms of available buying power instead of available
cash with which to trade. If a trader uses margin then buying power
includes margin. If a trader had $7,000 in cash in an account and
the broker extended $2,500 in margin, then the trader would have
$9,500 in buying power available. If if a trader doesn't use margin,
then buying power is simply the actual cash available.
Note:
You can only run margin trades in a margin account.
Your account statement typically will tell you how much margin
buying power is available to you. Stocks in a margin account can
be loaned to others by your broker under margin rules (if they
are unencumbered), for which the broker charges a fee; you receive
the interest on the margin loan. A cash account
does not permit margin trades.
Assuming that
you want to write a single covered call trade on one stock,
Example 1illustrates the buying power requirements for stocks at
different price levels of $10, $18 and $35.
There is nothing magical about these stock prices; they are just
to help you develop a feel for how much buying power trading will
require.
You see below
that writing 4 covered call contracts on an $18
stock would require $7,200; that same $7,200 in buying power obviously
would allow you to write 8 covered call contracts on a $9
stock. Continuing this example, an allocation of $5,000 buying power
per trade would permit the trader to write 2 covered call contracts
on that $18 stock ($3,600 is needed), but would be insufficient
to write 3 contracts, because $5,400 in buying power would be needed.
Yet the same $5,000 allocation per trade would handily allow a 4-contract
trade in the $10 stock.
| Example
1 |
| No.
of Contracts Written |
No.
of Shares of Stock Bought |
Stock
Price |
Buying
Power Needed |
Stock
Price |
Buying
Power Needed |
Stock
Price |
Buying
Power Needed |
| 1 |
100 |
$10 |
$1,000 |
$18 |
$1,800 |
$35 |
$
3,500 |
| 2 |
200 |
$10 |
$2.000 |
$18 |
$3.600 |
$35 |
$
7,000 |
| 3 |
300 |
$10 |
$3,000 |
$18 |
$5,400 |
$35 |
$10,500 |
| 4 |
400 |
$10 |
$4,000 |
$18 |
$7,200 |
$35 |
$14,000 |
In the above
table, the buying power requirement just to run one trade varies
considerably, from $1,000 to run a 1-contract trade
in a $10 stock to $14,000 to run a 4-contract trade
in a $35 stock. Consider the price of any stock you are considering
writing as a covered call, and you can make your own table of buying
power needed.
The table
above DOES NOT take premium or commission into account. We are just
looking at the maximum possible number of dollars needed to run
the trade, in order to get a sense of the amount of money required.
The premium collected would of course reduce the amount of cash
needed to run the trades.
However much
buying power you have available and have decided to use, the first
question is whether your buying power should go into one or into
multiple trades simultaneously. Traders with larger buying power
seldom want to run just one trade at a time; they prefer to be in
multiple trades simultaneously in order both to put their full buying
power to use and to reduce their exposure to any one trade. All
things being equal, the ideal money management strategy is to diversify
your buying power so that you don't have an undue concentration
of risk in any one trade.
Suppose instead
that a trader wants to have 3 covered call trades in place
simultaneously on different $18 stocks in a single month,
the buying power requirements would be as illustrated in Example
2:
| Example
2 |
| A |
B |
C |
D |
E |
F |
| No.
of Contracts Written |
No.
of Shares of Stock Bought |
Stock
Price |
Buying
Power to Run 1 Trade |
No.
of Shares of Stock Bought -
3 Separate
Trades |
Buying
Power to Be in 3 Trades Simultaneously
( 3 x Col. D)
|
| 1 |
100 |
$18 |
$1,800 |
300 |
$5,400 |
| 2 |
200 |
$18 |
$3.600 |
600 |
$10,800 |
| 3 |
300 |
$18 |
$5,400 |
900 |
$16,200 |
| 4 |
400 |
$18 |
$7,200 |
1,200 |
$21,600 |
As Example
2 shows, a trader would need $1,800 to $7,200
just to run a single covered call trade in an $18 stock (Column
D). For a trader to have 3 separate covered call trades open simultaneously
in different stocks all priced at $18 would require from $5,400
to $21,600 in cash (Column F), depending on how
many contracts were written.
Regarding
the above two examples, we understand that the premium received
will slightly increase your buying power. But for illustration purposes,
we kept the math simple in the first two examples by ignoring trading
costs and any call premiums received. The next example will squarely
address trading costs.
The bane
of all non-professional traders is commission cost. There is a lot
of confusion among inexperienced traders as to how commissions are
structured and charged. So here is the straight skinny. A covered
call trade is actually two trade orders (or legs): a purchase of
stock and sale of call options, and you pay a commission for each.
If you are called out of the stock, or aren't called out but sell
the stock after option expiration, you must pay another commission
to sell the stock (but no charge to you when the holder exercises
the calls). And if you are forced to close the position, you must
buy back the call options and sell the stock, which involves another
two commissions. To summarize:
- Enter
trade = two commissions
- Sell
stock = three commissions in total
- Close
trade = four commissions in total
Let's look
at how this works in Example 3, using the optionsXpress.com
commission structure of $14.95 minimum for an option trade (up to
10 contracts) and $14.95 minimum for a stock trade:
| Example
3 |
| |
Sale
of Calls |
Stock
Purchase |
Buy
calls back |
Stock
sold |
TOTAL |
Cumulative |
| A
- Trade Entry |
$14.95 |
$14.95 |
-
- |
-
- |
$29.90 |
|
| B
- Sell Stock |
-
- |
-
- |
-
- |
$14.95 |
$14.95 |
$44.85 |
| C
- Close Trade |
-
- |
-
- |
$14.95 |
$14.95 |
$29.90 |
$59.80 |
So you will
pay $29.90 in commissions to enter the trade, and another $14.95
if you are called out (or if the calls expire worthless and you
have to sell the stock), for total commissions of approximately
$45. If instead of
just selling the stock you must close repurchasing the calls and
selling the stock, your commission total is approximately $60.
So your best case for trading commissions to exit a position is
$45. And these commissions are the same whether you write
one contract or 10!
Whatever the
actual cost, commissions all have one thing in common: the more
contracts you write, the lower the cost per share. Obviously, trading
costs make a difference, and more to the point, the number of contracts
you write makes a huge difference. (Note that in the above table,
to open and unwind a covered call trade you would normally never
have to pay commissions A, B and C; you would pay either A and B
or A and C, but not all three.)
I
think it makes good sense to take part of one's savings and dedicate
it to trading, to generating income far beyond what is obtainable
from savings accounts, money market funds, Treasuries and the like.
The question is what percentage? In deciding how much cash to allocate
to trading, you must consider your unique circumstances. Those circumstances
include cash available for trading, whether or not you want to use
available margin to increase buying power, trading experience, risk
tolerance, whether you are trading money you can't afford to lose,
and other foreseeable cash needs in your life, among many other
possible considerations.
Guess what:
the experts don't always agree on these matters, either. But there
is one trading canard on which every writer to our knowledge agrees:
don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
There is an old Wall Street saying that "scared money never
wins." This means that people trading money they can't afford
to lose make poor decisions and tend to lose all discipline when
things go wrong.
The following
example featuring two traders with very different personal circumstances
highlights the difficulty in advising anyone how much to invest.
Example:
Two traders with $20,000 accounts (total buying power) each could
have greatly different personal circumstances. For example, one
might be an experienced trader, be very liquid and the $20,000
might be small in relation to his cash on hand and net worth.
The other trader might have little trading experience, might not
be liquid at all and might have mortgaged his or her house to
the hilt to get the $20,000 to trade.
Will their
risk tolerance be the same? I doubt it, since one trader is investing
money he can't afford to lose. Should they be equally comfortable
using margin? Again, I doubt it, since the illiquid trader needs
trading experience and confidence right now more than he needs the
additional trading leverage that margin offers (and the correspondingly
greater trading risk that margin entails).
This isn't
very helpful, I realize, but there is no one-size-fits-all formula
for deciding how much to trade or invest. If you want to invest
long-term as well as trade, then you have to allocate cash between
the two goals.
Example:
Two couples each have $50,000 in savings, equity in a home, pension
or 401K plans and roughly the same net earnings. Yet one couple
are DINKS (double income, no kids), and the wife is diabetic.
They are greatly concerned about her future health and possible
medical expenses. The other couple is healthy but has three children
in college, one headed for medical school. Their needs and future
needs are quite different.
If we all
planned for every possible future need, we would never have money
to trade. On the other hand, perhaps the question is this: would
you prefer to grow your money at a glacial pace or bring in a vastly
higher income through rational trading? I don't think leaving large
amounts of money in a money market fund earning a few percent annually
is conservative at all. It makes much more sense to me to make money
with our money. But in the end, how much money to trade - in fact,
whether to trade - has to be your choice.
Once
you've decided to trade, and how much to trade, the next question
becomes how much to diversify. Many money management gurus believe
that you should never put more than 5% to 10%
of your buying power at risk in a single trade, in order to reduce
the risk of any particular trade hurting you badly. Putting too
many eggs in one basket concentrates your trade risk in one or a
few trades. There is no doubt that this is sage advice. If your
buying power is sufficient to let you have several different positions
open simultaneously, then this advice is sterling.
But consider:
if your total buying power is relatively, say, $5,000, then observing
this guideline would effectively prohibit you from writing covered
calls at all, since allocating even 10% ($500) to each trade would
provide only enough buying power run 1 covered call contract in
a stock $5 or under, and even low commission costs would guarantee
a loss on the trade even in almost every case! So the person with
a smaller account faces a Hobbesian choice: observe the classic
money-management guidelines to limit single-trade risk, or put all
or most of the buying power into one trade or a few trades.
Suppose a
trader has $25,000 in an account with which to trade. To keep it
simple, this trader will not use margin. To minimize the impact
of trading costs, the trader decides to run at least 3 contracts
per trade. How might this trading deck be allocated? The table below
assumes
| Example
4 ($25,000
Account) |
| A |
B |
C |
D |
| Stock |
No.
of Shares of Stock Bought |
Stock
Price -
Net Debit |
Total
Net Debit
Per Trade |
| BUMM |
400 |
$12 |
$4,800 |
| XYZ |
300 |
$15 |
$4,500 |
| ZZZ |
300 |
$22 |
$6,600 |
| ABC |
300 |
$30 |
$9,000 |
| TOTAL |
1,300 |
Avg
= $19.15 |
$24,900 |
In this example,
our trader was able to put his entire $25,000 account to work and
diversify into 4 separate trades, at least 3 contracts per trade.
But notice that there are no pricey stocks there, no stocks over
$30. In fact, running the intended minimum 3 contracts in a $60
stock would have used up $18,000 of the account, leaving just $7,000
available for a second trade. Would the trader have been better
off to run 10 contracts (1,000 shares) in a $25 stock in which he
was extremely confident than to diversify as shown above?
My answer
is that if the trader liked and had confidence in the above trades,
the diversification is better than putting all the eggs into one
basket, even though running 10 contracts of a single trade greatly
reduces trade costs per share. But suppose the account was much
smaller, say $7,500?
| Example
5 ($7,500
Account) |
| A |
B |
C |
D |
| Stock |
No.
of Shares of Stock Bought |
Stock
Price -
Net Debit |
Total
Net Debit
Per Trade |
| ZOT |
300 |
$10 |
$3,000 |
| HMMM |
300 |
$8 |
$2,400 |
| OOH |
300 |
$6 |
$1,800 |
| TOTAL |
900 |
Avg
= $8.00 |
$7,200 |
The trader
in Example 5 found a way to diversify into 3 separate trades within
his $7,500 account. But these under-$10 stocks can be very volatile.
Would the trader have done better to find that more stable $25 stock
and run 3 contracts in it rather than diversifying into 3 trades?
In my opinion,
the answer is: choose the best stocks you can afford and truly are
willing to own. If that includes $6 and $8 stocks you have analyzed
and like, then feel free to write them. My point is: never diversify
just for the sake of being diversified. Running bad trades in
cheap stocks just to diversify is a poor trading choice.
Faced with
this choice because of small account size, I personally would almost
always opt to run multiple contracts in the same stock rather
than splitting the buying power and running one contract each in
multiple stocks. The reason is that running multiple contracts in
the same stock lowers your costs per contract, and I'm confident
in my ability to pick winning covered call trades and minimize losses.
In other words, I am willing to accept the "concentration risk"
of putting more money into a single trade if it cuts trading costs
per contract, because cutting the trade costs increases profitability,
and in my view more profit amply offsets the risk of not being diversified
into more positions. Trading is about winning, and if commission
costs eat up your profits, what is the point of trading, anyhow?
In the final
analysis, there is only so much buying power for any trader to work
with, no matter how large or small. It's all about managing your
money and deciding where to put it. I hope this article is helpful
to you in deciding on your own money management strategy.
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