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A
penny SAVED is a penny saved!
Let's
look at some alternatives for alleviating risk and see
if there is a practical way to protect a stock portfolio.
1)
Just Say Stop. You could set fairly tight
stops on each stock so that you bail out of the position
if it drops. The stop should be reasonable, related to
recent trading highs or lows or to support levels. But
there are a couple of defects in simply relying on stops.
First, a volatile stock can trade in a wide range, and
this can result in you getting stopped out of an ultimately
profitable trade. One cause of losses is setting stops
too tightly, because stocks really wallow nowadays. Second,
what if the stock gaps down hard? It can trade right through
your stop. Suppose you buy the stock for $20 and set your
stop at a $17.75 major support level, but bad news causes
the stock to gap down to $14? In this example, $14 is
what you would get upon being stopped out - not $17.75.
2)
Cross Your Fingers. We're
not being (completely) facetious. This must be a valid
approach to investing in stocks, since millions of investors
do it, apparently. This is one of the chief ways that
Wall Street picks your pocket. But we don't recommend
it!
3)
Collar that Stock. Yep, this
is the point of the article. The way to "padlock"
your portfolio is to establish a collar on each
stock position. It protects you against a drop in stock
price but also limits your profit potential, so it is
a trade off. But in any market but a bull market, the
collar makes a lot of dollars and sense. A collar is very
simple. All you do is:
SELL
a call option on the stock
and
BUY a put option of the
stock
Remember
our option basics. The CALL option is a standardized contract
that gives the holder the right to buy a fixed number
of shares (100) of stock at a fixed price (the strike
price) until the option expires. The PUT option is a standardized
contract that gives the holder the right to sell a fixed
number of shares (100) of stock at a fixed price (the
strike price) until the put option expires. The option
writer is the person who sells the option. Since each
option covers only 100 shares, to cover 1,000 shares of
stock, one would have to sell 10 call options. You buy
a call if you think the stock is going up, and you buy
puts if you think the stock is going down.
Example:
Let's use an example from this week's actual trading.
Assume that you buy 1,000 shares of National Semiconductor
(NSM) for $18.75, which has been as low as $9.95 recently.
The market is turning bearish this week, bouncing off
resistance, while the VIX is turning up. You're a little
concerned about a pullback in NSM, and I don't blame you.
After looking at your options, you decide to protect yourself
by collaring the NSM position. So you do this:
Sell
10 DEC 20 Calls @$.75 = $
750.00
Buy
10 DEC 17.50 Puts @$.75 = $
750.00
Net
Debit or Credit -0-
The
bid price of the 20 Call was $.75, and the asked price
of the 17.50 put was also $.75, so you came out even on
the collar. But because there are trading costs, you spent
$50 or so to set up the collar. Nice move, though. You
have now limited your total possible loss to $1.25,
because even if the stock drops to $1, you can sell it
to the put holder at $17.50, and he has to buy it. On
the other hand, if the stock closes above $20 at option
expiration on December 20th, you probably will be called
out of the NSM shares and will only receive the $20 strike
price, which would cap your profit at $1.25
per share.
The
technique is simplicity itself. You simply sell naked
puts on a stock you want to own. If you want to buy 1,000
shares, write 10 put contracts on that stock. Remember,
a PUT is a standardized option contract that allows the
put holder to SELL shares of a stock to the put writer
at the strike price through option expiration day. So
if you write a 20 Put on a $22.00 stock, the holder can
put (sell) the stock to you at any time prior to expiration
for $20 and you have to buy it at that strike price. But
puts and calls are not usually exercised until expiration.
Therefore, the holder will not put the stock to you unless
it is below $20 at expiration. Below we look at a more
thorough example.
Example:
You want to buy Medimmune, Inc. (MEDI), which last traded
during market hours on Friday the 15th at $24.02. The
DEC 22.50 Put is bid at $1.75,
which is approximately the price you could sell the put
for. Assume that you want to buy 1,000 shares, which means
that you would have to write 10 put contracts (10 x 100
= 1,000) to lower your cost on all the shares sought.
So you write the 10 put contracts, for a total premium
of $1,750.00. Remember,
you don't have a dime tied up in the stock, but you have
already put some nice change in your jeans! That put you
just wrote will expire on December 20th, so let's look
at the possible outcomes to you by option expiration:
1)
Stock price remains stable. MEDI finishes
the option period at $23.89, down just slightly. The put
holder will not put the stock to you at
expiration. Why would he? He has to sell it to you at
the $22.50 strike price, but could get $23.89 by just
selling it in the open market. Because the put expires
worthless, you pocketed $1,750.00
in free money. No kidding, it is yours to
keep. Now what? If you still like MEDI, sell some more
puts! Think about this... if MEDI trades at a relatively
stable price, you could sell naked puts on it month after
month.
2)
Stock price goes up. MEDI finishes up
at $26 by option expiration. Same result as 1) above,
you keep the $1,750.00.
You might be thinking, "Doggone it, I made a $1.75
premium but MEDI has gone up almost $2, so I miscalculated."
Not on your life! You didn't buy the stock, so you never
had any capital tied up in MEDI, and it could have gone
down. Because the put has expired, all trade risk is terminated
and you are $1,750.00
ahead. So what if it went up? Sell another put!
3)
Stock price drops. Now assume that MEDI
has fallen to $21 by expiration and the stock is put to
you at $22.50. Ouch, right? Nope! You're still ahead,
because you had to buy MEDI at $22.50, but you got a $1.75
put premium, which lowers your net cost to $20.75. You're
still in the stock at $0.25 less than current market.
Now that the stock has been put to you (you wanted it,
remember), you can decide whether to sell or hold it.
In
other words, this strategy is a win-win. You either get
free money or get paid to buy the stock you wanted anyway.
And the premium you get for writing the naked put will
reduce your cost to buy the stock. If the stock is not
put to you the first month, you can write another, then
another and so on until either the stock gets put to you
or you change your mind about wanting the stock.
Margin.
Most brokers will require a 20% margin on naked puts,
meaning that you have to put up 20% of the stock's price
when you write the put. So to write the above MEDI 22.50
put would require $4.80 per share in margin. Some brokers
may require more of a margin percentage, especially if
you are not experienced in naked writing.
Direction.
This is a neutral to bullish strategy that is relatively
low risk, because it wins if:
- the
stock price rises;
- the
stock price stays the same;
- the
stock price drops, but less than the premium received
Risk.
Your risk in writing a naked put
is that the stock goes to zero. This will very rarely
happen, but remember Enron, and many others. There are
several ways to reduce the risk:
First,
don't get greedy; only write puts on good stocks, like
S&P 100 stocks.
Second,
don't write naked puts during a market decline, wait
for it to stabilize.
Third,
write an out-of-the-money put, meaning that the put's
strike price is less than the stock's current price.
Fourth,
make sure the premium is equal to the difference between
the stock's current price and the strike price, or as
close as possible. Notice in our MEDI example above
how the 22.50 strike was $1.52 out of the money, but
we got $1.75 for the put. This way if the stock drops
and is put to you, your portfolio will be even.
Spread
that trade. Another way to significantly reduce
your risk in writing naked calls (but also shave off a
little profit) is to create a put spread. That
is, instead of just writing naked puts, you would also
buy a lower-strike put. In our MEDI example, instead of
just selling naked puts, you could have created a put
spread by purchasing the DEC 17.50 Put for $0.55. This
would have lowered your maximum exposure to $5 per share.
How? You are obligated to buy the stock at $22.50 if it
is put to you, but by purchasing the 17.50 put, you can
sell it to the 17.50 put writer and limit your loss to
a maximum of $5 per share - the difference (or "spread")
between the two strikes.
Here
is how the bear put spread would work in the above example,
assuming that the stock price dropped to $15 by expiration:
Sell
DEC 22.50 Put $
1,750.00
Buy DEC 17.50 Put $ 550,00
Net Credit $
1,200.00
Buy
1,000 shares at $22.50 $22,500.00
Sell 1,000 shares at $17.50 $17,500.00
Loss on stock sale $
5,000.00
Deduct
premium received $
1,200.00
Total
Loss $
3,800.00
Ugly,
right? Actually, it's beautiful, because you called the
stock wrong or had a piece of bad luck, and the trade
could have gone much worse. Had you just bought the stock
at $24.02, you would have taken a loss of $9.02/share
($9,020), but the bear put spread strategy reduced the
loss to $3,800. What if the stock went to $5? Your loss
on the spread would be the same as illustrated above,
no more. On the other hand, in possibilities 1)
and 2) above, the spread would have dropped your
total premium profit from $1,750 to only $1,200,
but also would have significantly reduced your risk (and
your margin requirement).
Now
you know how to buy that special stock at a discount.
If uncomfortable with this strategy, paper trade it first
- meaning to set up trades only on paper and see how they
do. This always is a good tactic when learning a new strategy.
| Trading
Tip: Stocks that make good covered
call candidates also make good naked put candidates.
So you CallWriter
members should watch our covered call picks closely
for naked call writing candidates. (Pssst, high
call premiums will mean fat put premiums, too.) |

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Disclaimer
We
are not brokers, investment advisers or securities
analysts and do not recommend the purchase,
sale or holding of any security. Your use
of any information or strategy appearing in
this newsletter or on CallWriter.com is solely
at your own risk. We urge our newsletter subscribers
and CallWriter.com website members to do all
requisite and analysis and properly plan each
trade prior to making the trade and to manage
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