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September 5, 2003
Protective
Puts - to put or not to put?
by John Brasher, CallWriter Publisher
| We get asked occasionally
if we use protective puts in our CallWriter
trading, and if not, why not. We don't really buy protective
puts, and this article discusses a few reasons why. A protective
put is one that is bought to protect a stock against a price
drop. A put option is a stock option that entitles its
holder to sell (to "put") shares of stock to someone
who sold the put. That is, puts can be exercised just like call
options; the difference being that exercise of a call is to
purchase stock, but exercise of a put is to sell stock. So there
are two obvious reasons why someone would buy a put: |
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1. Bearish speculation: meaning that the
put buyer expects the stock price to go down, and hopes to profit
by buying the stock after it declines and sell it by exercising
the put at a higher price. For example, when the stock is $15.25,
the speculator might buy the 15 Put. If the stock drops enough,
the speculator can buy the stock and sell it at $15 for a nice profit
by exercising the put. Or, more simply, he can just sell the put,
which is now in the money and selling for much more than the put
buyer paid.
2. Protection of a long stock position:
the put partially protects the stock owner, since if the stock price
drops below the put price, the owner can exercise the put and sell
the stock at the put's strike price. For example, if you bought
XYZ stock at $18, you might consider buying the 17.50 Put
for $0.95 or the 15 Put for $0.15 in order to protect yourself.
Let's look at both possibilities, assuming the stock drops to $12.
If you bought the 17.50 Put, you still can sell the stock at $17.50
by exercising the put. Despite the drop in stock price, your loss
is minimized to the $0.50 difference between the $17.50 you got
by exercising the put and the $18 you paid for the stock, plus the
put premium you paid. If you bought the 15 Put, you loss is higher,
the difference between $18 and $15, plus the put premium. The two
results would look like this:
| Bought
stock |
-$18.00 |
-$18.00 |
| Cost
of 17.50 put |
-$
0.95 |
-$
0.15 |
| Sale
of stock |
+$17.50 |
+$15.00 |
| Net
gain (loss) |
(-$
1.45) |
(-$
3.15) |
The 15 Put was much cheaper to buy, but only protected
against a catastrophic loss. The 17.50 Put cost more but conferred
much greater protection. The closer to the stock price the put's
strike price is (that is, the closer to the money the strike is),
the more you are protected - but the more you will pay for the put.
And vice versa. At this point, you might be thinking "okay,
given the above example, why don't you buy protective puts?"
The above example ignores the flip side of protection.
When you bought the 17.50 put for $0.95, you effectively increased
your basis in the stock to $18.95, plus the trade cost of buying
the put. You have to earn an additional $0.95 on the trade plus
trade costs just to break even. Now assume that you sold the 20
Call for $0.75 to create a covered call. You're still in the hole
$0.20 ($0.95 put - $0.75 call premium) on the trade, plus trade
costs. What was the benefit of the protective put, exactly?
Let's use another example of an earlier trade we
did on USG Corp. (USG), which was bought at $15.11, and the
15 Call was sold for a premium of $1.03:
Here is the result from running the trade:
| Bought
Stock |
-$15.11 |
| Call
premium |
+$
1.03 (6% return) |
| Net
debit |
-$14.08 |
Now lets compare the two possibilities (close position
versus buying protective puts) if the stock drops below $12.50,
assuming we exit the trade when the stock hits $12.50:
| |
Close
Position |
Bought
$12.50 Put |
| Net
debit |
-$14.08 |
-$14.08 |
| Cost
of put |
-0- |
-$
0.25 |
| Buy
back call |
-$
0.20 |
-0- |
| Sell
stock |
+$12.25
(est.) |
+$12.50 |
| Net
gain (loss) |
(-$
2.03) |
(-$
1.83) |
The improvement from buying the puts isn't very
dramatic, only $0.20. And the above example assumes that we closed
the position and only got $12.25/share. If we closed the trade at
$12.50 or higher instead of $12.25, the put buy would not give even
as good a result. Note that in the above example, we didn't show
the stock buy at $15.11 and writing the call for a $1.03 premium
- we just showed the trade's net debit ($15.11 - $1.03).
However, stock prices frequently yaw a good bit
before expiration. For example, during the USG trade, it dropped
almost to the breakeven point ($14.08) and then rallied to close
at $14.87 by expiration. Then we called an exit after expiration
and sold USG at $15.40. We preferred to put a stop limit order in
on the trade to exit the trade if the stock hit $12.50. In view
of the stop, aprotective put would have been no real help and would
have drained call premium away. The $0.25 for the put may not sound
like much, but if you only trade one call contract, it will more
than pay the trading costs for the entire covered call trade! Too
much for us! In short, protective puts work best for professional
(institutional) traders whose trading costs are virtually nil.
You may be thinking, "gosh, there ought to
be some way to create some protection." You're right, there
is, and it's just common sense. Here are three good possibilities;
pay especial attention to #3:
1) Buy a put two to four months out, intending
to sell calls against the stock every month. The put premium will
eat heavily into returns, but will give protection. If you find
a stock with put premiums aligned just right, this strategy can
work. It commits you to the stock while you own the put, however,
and there is a risk that the implied volatility that creates good
premium will cease, giving such small returns from writing calls
that you never get the put premium back. We don't like this strategy,
because you still are gambling - gambling that the stock will continue
paying good call premiums for the life of the put.
2) Buy the 15 put, since it still leaves
a profit from selling the call and at least protects against a catastrophic
drop. This strategy may confer peace of mind, but we don't consider
it a good strategy, since the cost usually makes it prohibitive.
3) Set a stop (stop limit order) on the
trade, so that you automatically exit the trade when the stop is
hit. The stop should be set at a logical price, such as just below
the nearest support level. It is true that the stock can trade right
through the stop, and the exit using our above XYZ example could
be lower than $15. We don't buy puts, but use stops, since stocks
seldom will trade through a stop. And if you can consistently call
trades right, this is vastly more profitable than buying puts.
and now we'll sneak in a bonus alternative #4:
4) Sell deep-in-the-money
covered calls! The premium you get not only provides
a return immediately, but protects you against a price drop in the
amount of the call premium received. So if you buy XYZ stock at
$18 as in our above example and sell the 15 call for $3.60, you
got a slightly smaller return than from selling the $20 call ($0.60
instead of $0.75), but you just protected yourself against a $3.60
drop, so you begin the trade with both a profit and a huge cushion.
All covered calls put money in your jeans and give you a cushion
against a drop in price, and deep-in-the-money calls give huge protection.
(Now you know why we like covered calls so much.) If you're worried
about the stock or the market, write deep!
So unless you're going to pay top dollar for a
protective put not too far out of the money, it makes more sense
to write covered calls and set a stop price just below the logical
support level. The stop price will almost always be higher than
the strike price of the put you would realistically buy because
it is cheap enough to make economic sense - and give you even better
protection than the put. In our above example, we set a stop on
USG of $12.50 - $13, so buying the 12.50 put really would have been
nonsensical. Sure, you could have some trades in a year where a
put would have made a crucial difference, but buying a put on every
trade would severely dampen profits.
Now, do protective puts make sense for you? Admittedly,
they often make sense for professionals with miniscule trading costs
who are protecting big long positions, but do they make sense for
the covered call writer? If you have a good support level in the
stock for setting a stop, and especially if you write a deep-in-the-money
call, how much real protection does a "protective" put
add? For us, it doesn't add up. Until next time...
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