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1.
Bearish speculation:
meaning that the put buyer expects the stock price to
go down, and hopes to profit by buying the stock after
it declines and sell it by exercising the put at a higher
price. For example, when the stock is $15.25, the speculator
might buy the 15 Put. If the stock drops enough, the speculator
can buy the stock and sell it at $15 for a nice profit
by exercising the put. Or, more simply, he can just sell
the put, which is now in the money and selling for much
more than the put buyer paid.
2.
Protection of a long stock position: the put partially
protects the stock owner, since if the stock price drops
below the put price, the owner can exercise the put and
sell the stock at the put's strike price. For example,
if you bought XYZ stock at $18, you might consider
buying the 17.50 Put for $0.95 or the 15 Put for $0.15
in order to protect yourself. Let's look at both possibilities,
assuming the stock drops to $12. If you bought the 17.50
Put, you still can sell the stock at $17.50 by exercising
the put. Despite the drop in stock price, your loss is
minimized to the $0.50 difference between the $17.50 you
got by exercising the put and the $18 you paid for the
stock, plus the put premium you paid. If you bought the
15 Put, you loss is higher, the difference between $18
and $15, plus the put premium. The two results would look
like this:
| Bought
stock |
-$18.00 |
-$18.00 |
| Cost
of 17.50 put |
-$
0.95 |
-$
0.15 |
| Sale
of stock |
+$17.50 |
+$15.00 |
| Net
gain (loss) |
(-$
1.45) |
(-$
3.15) |
The
15 Put was much cheaper to buy, but only protected against
a catastrophic loss. The 17.50 Put cost more but conferred
much greater protection. The closer to the stock price
the put's strike price is (that is, the closer to the
money the strike is), the more you are protected - but
the more you will pay for the put. And vice versa. At
this point, you might be thinking "okay, given the
above example, why don't you buy protective puts?"
The
above example ignores the flip side of protection. When
you bought the 17.50 put for $0.95, you effectively increased
your basis in the stock to $18.95, plus the trade cost
of buying the put. You have to earn an additional $0.95
on the trade plus trade costs just to break even. Now
assume that you sold the 20 Call for $0.75 to create a
covered call. You're still in the hole $0.20 ($0.95 put
- $0.75 call premium) on the trade, plus trade costs.
What was the benefit of the protective put, exactly?
Let's
use another example of an earlier trade we did on USG
Corp. (USG), which was bought at $15.11, and the 15
Call was sold for a premium of $1.03:
Here
is the result from running the trade:
| Bought
Stock |
-$15.11 |
| Call
premium |
+$
1.03 (6% return) |
| Net
debit |
-$14.08 |
Now
lets compare the two possibilities (close position versus
buying protective puts) if the stock drops below $12.50,
assuming we exit the trade when the stock hits $12.50:
| |
Close
Position |
Bought
$12.50 Put |
| Net
debit |
-$14.08 |
-$14.08 |
| Cost
of put |
-0- |
-$
0.25 |
| Buy
back call |
-$
0.20 |
-0- |
| Sell
stock |
+$12.25
(est.) |
+$12.50 |
| Net
gain (loss) |
(-$
2.03) |
(-$
1.83) |
The
improvement from buying the puts isn't very dramatic,
only $0.20. And the above example assumes that we closed
the position and only got $12.25/share. If we closed the
trade at $12.50 or higher instead of $12.25, the put buy
would not give even as good a result. Note that in the
above example, we didn't show the stock buy at $15.11
and writing the call for a $1.03 premium - we just showed
the trade's net debit ($15.11 - $1.03).
However,
stock prices frequently yaw a good bit before expiration.
For example, during the USG trade, it dropped almost to
the breakeven point ($14.08) and then rallied to close
at $14.87 by expiration. Then we called an exit after
expiration and sold USG at $15.40. We preferred to put
a stop limit order in on the trade to exit the trade if
the stock hit $12.50. In view of the stop, aprotective
put would have been no real help and would have drained
call premium away. The $0.25 for the put may not sound
like much, but if you only trade one call contract, it
will more than pay the trading costs for the entire covered
call trade! Too much for us! In short, protective puts
work best for professional (institutional) traders whose
trading costs are virtually nil.
You
may be thinking, "gosh, there ought to be some way
to create some protection." You're right, there is,
and it's just common sense. Here are three good possibilities;
pay especial attention to #3:
1)
Buy a put two to four months out, intending to sell calls
against the stock every month. The put premium will eat
heavily into returns, but will give protection. If you
find a stock with put premiums aligned just right, this
strategy can work. It commits you to the stock while you
own the put, however, and there is a risk that the implied
volatility that creates good premium will cease, giving
such small returns from writing calls that you never get
the put premium back. We don't like this strategy, because
you still are gambling - gambling that the stock will
continue paying good call premiums for the life of the
put.
2)
Buy the 15 put, since it still leaves a profit from selling
the call and at least protects against a catastrophic
drop. This strategy may confer peace of mind, but we don't
consider it a good strategy, since the cost usually makes
it prohibitive.
3)
Set a stop (stop limit order) on the trade, so that you
automatically exit the trade when the stop is hit. The
stop should be set at a logical price, such as just below
the nearest support level. It is true that the stock can
trade right through the stop, and the exit using our above
XYZ example could be lower than $15. We don't buy puts,
but use stops, since stocks seldom will trade through
a stop. And if you can consistently call trades right,
this is vastly more profitable than buying puts.
and
now we'll sneak in a bonus alternative #4:
4)
Sell deep-in-the-money covered calls! The premium
you get not only provides a return immediately, but protects
you against a price drop in the amount of the call premium
received. So if you buy XYZ stock at $18 as in our above
example and sell the 15 call for $3.60, you got a slightly
smaller return than from selling the $20 call ($0.60 instead
of $0.75), but you just protected yourself against a $3.60
drop, so you begin the trade with both a profit and a
huge cushion. All covered calls put money in your jeans
and give you a cushion against a drop in price, and deep-in-the-money
calls give huge protection. (Now you know why we like
covered calls so much.) If you're worried about the stock
or the market, write deep!
So
unless you're going to pay top dollar for a protective
put not too far out of the money, it makes more sense
to write covered calls and set a stop price just below
the logical support level. The stop price will almost
always be higher than the strike price of the put you
would realistically buy because it is cheap enough to
make economic sense - and give you even better protection
than the put. In our above example, we set a stop on USG
of $12.50 - $13, so buying the 12.50 put really would
have been nonsensical. Sure, you could have some trades
in a year where a put would have made a crucial difference,
but buying a put on every trade would severely dampen
profits.
Now,
do protective puts make sense for you? Admittedly, they
often make sense for professionals with miniscule trading
costs who are protecting big long positions, but do they
make sense for the covered call writer? If you have a
good support level in the stock for setting a stop, and
especially if you write a deep-in-the-money call, how
much real protection does a "protective" put
add? For us, it doesn't add up. Until next time...

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