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We
are always concerned when a reader is trading with money
that he or she cannot afford to lose. This can lead to
poor trading decisions and consequent losses, as embodied
in the old Wall Street adage that "scared money"
never wins. The reason is of course that a person trading
scared money frequently will make bad decisions due to
panic or paralysis. Anyone trading money that cannot be
lost must realistically face the prospect that the money,
or at least a good chunk of it, could be lost in trading.
Yet
many people have no other money available for trading
and feel a strong need or desire to try, despite the risks,
to grow the money in order to better their financial condition.
And it can be done, but only if the trading is approached
realistically, with a focused commitment to manage the
money effectively. The question of whether to trade scared
money actually resolves into two questions:
1.
Should the money be traded at all?
2.
If it is to be traded, how can it be traded most effectively
and safely?
It
is not our place to tell people to refrain from trading
money they can't afford to lose, but to point out the
risks and to help them trade effectively if they choose
to trade. The purpose of this article is not to teach
the strategy discussed below - space simply does not permit
that - but to point out a relatively safe and productive
method for trading money that the trader dare not lose.
The
Covered Call Strategy for Income and Safety
Regarding
the second question above, based on our experience we
have learned that covered calls can be traded for consistent
profitability and with relative safety. In fact, covered
calls are the one option-related trading strategy
that most brokerages will allow to be done in I.R.A. accounts.
The reason is that covered calls provide a combination
of income (like receiving a monthly dividend
check) and downside protection should
the stock drop. Merely owning a stock produces no income
and no downside protection.
If
you are not familiar with covered calls, they are simple:
you buy shares of stock and sell call options ("calls")
on them, and the price you get for selling the calls (the
"premium") goes into your pocket as
income. If the calls you sold are exercised, you are obligated
to sell the stock at the calls' exercise price, which
is known as being "called out" of the
stock. Because you own the stock underlying the calls,
the calls are "covered" and you have
them available for delivery to the buyer if the calls
are exercised - - if you didn't own the stock, the calls
would be naked. If you are not called out of the stock
when the calls expire, you either sell the stock or sell
more call options on the stock the next month for more
premium income.
Every
month you do the same thing: buy stock, sell calls, pocket
premium income. It's like collecting a monthly dividend
from your stocks. This strategy can generate a steady
monthly income that averages 3% to 5%
a month.
Example:
On February 7th Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT)
shares could be bought for $10 and the February $10
calls could have been sold for a $0.50
premium. In this case, the return is calculated by simply
dividing the stock price into the premium received.
This trade creates an instant return of 5%
for a 14-day holding period, since the FEB calls expire
on February 20th. Upon writing the calls, the $0.50
premium goes into your account. A call option contract
covers 100 shares, so three contracts would cost
$3,000 to buy the stock (300 x $10) and yield
$150 in premium (300 x $150). The premium
received protects you against a drop in the stock price
down to $9.50.
The
$150 return in our example may not sound like much, but
it is a 5% return on a $10 stock. And if the stock is
not called out (sold), the calls can be written again,
month after month. Or the GT shares could be sold in order
to buy another stock and write covered calls on it.
Six
Safety Rules You Need to Know
To
successfully trade covered calls, it is necessary to observe
certain safety rules. CallWriter
has over the years developed a simple but comprehensive
set of rules for making consistent profits writing covered
calls, which we teach to CallWriter
members. It's so unique to us that we have named
it the CallWriter Method.
The key is to focus not on trying to get the highest returns
but on getting the highest combination of return
and stability in order to eliminate those
pesky losing trades that wipe out many successful trades.
In other words, it is not enough to make good returns;
successful money management requires that you also control
losses. And the best way to avoid losses is to avoid situations
that historically are likely to cause losses.
Clearly,
writing covered calls is one of the more conservative
strategies available, and can be used very effectively
even by people with relatively small trading accounts.
But every trading strategy can lose if executed poorly,
even the covered call. If you are going to trade covered
calls with money you'd best not lose, you should consider
the very conservative approach embodied in these simple
trading rules:
1.
Stick with household names. Concentrate in the
larger, more stable stocks such as the S&P 100 and
the larger Nasdaq 100 stocks in your price range, which
offer the best combination of return and safety.
2.
Avoid money losers. Stick with companies that
have positive earnings. There are many exceptions to this
rule, but for safety it is better to avoid the money losers.
3.
Avoid pharmaceutical and biotechnology stocks. These
are companies whose drugs or devices are regulated by
the F.D.A. When one of these companies has a critical
product fail to get F.D.A. approval, the stock can tank.
They generally are too dangerous as covered call trades
for anyone but experienced traders.
4.
Avoid life or death news. If an important news
event is expected to occur before the calls expire (resolution
of major lawsuit, major contracts are being bid on, etc.),
avoid the stock. The reason is that the stock will almost
certainly drop if the news is adverse, and it may drop
even if the news is good if it has already run up on the
expectation of good news. This news is not usually hard
to uncover and you can usually find it at free sites Yahoo!
or CBS Marketwatch.
5.
Stick with rising stocks. The stock ideally will
be in an uptrend, meaning that it is making higher highs
and higher lows.
6.
Stay in the money. A call is in the money if
its exercise price is lower than the stock's price. The
deeply in-the-money (“DITM”) calls usually
offer lower returns but provide the most protection if
the stock drops.
Example:
A stock is trading at $17.80 and the $17.50
call can be sold for $1.75, which would produce an 8.15%
return. The fat premium protects you down to $16.05
(17.80 - 1.75). However, you are concerned that the
stock is at a high and could pull back. In that case,
it might be smarter to instead sell the $15 call for
$3.80, which would produce only a 5.62% return but provide
protection against a price drop all the way down to
$14 (17.80 - 3.80). The more conservative trader would
sell the deep-in-the-money $15 call, because it offers
an acceptable return but confers far more protection.
If the stock should drop before expiration to $15, the
writer of the $17.50 covered call position is hurting,
but the writer of the $15 call position is smiling.
These
rules have come out of observations made by us at CallWriter
in years of covered call trading and will serve
the careful trader well. There is of course more to consider
in covered call trading than the few points made above.
But you might be astonished how well these six simple
rules work for covered calls, month in and month out.
But
successful covered call writing is not difficult; it simply
requires patience and a bit of knowledge. That's why
is so successful in covered calls and is the world's premier
covered call website. We have the proprietary tools to
find the highest-returning covered call trades, an amazing
trade calculator that manages trades and squeezes the
most profit out of them, and we provide a time-tested
analytical method for profitable covered call trading.

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Disclaimer
We
are not brokers, investment advisers or securities
analysts and do not recommend the purchase,
sale or holding of any security. Your use
of any information or strategy appearing in
this newsletter or on CallWriter.com is solely
at your own risk. We urge our newsletter subscribers
and CallWriter.com website members to do all
requisite and analysis and properly plan each
trade prior to making the trade and to manage
each trade effectively. Covered call and other
potential trades discussed in this newsletter
or on CallWriter.com do not constitute trading
recommendations by CallWriter or any other
person and are presented by solely for informational
and educational purposes. |
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