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May 7, 2003
Turning Long Option Losers into
Money in Your Pocket
by John Brasher, CallWriter Publisher
| Sounds
crazy, I know, but yes, it can be done. Suppose you bought
call options because you expected a stock to move up,
or bought put options because you expected a price
drop in the stock. But you calculated wrong... the stock is
either not moving or going the wrong direction. | |
There
is another option...
Long calls and long puts are stock
options that have been purchased. The long call or long put position
is a debit trade, because you paid money - a net debit -
to execute it. If the underlying stock moves enough in the anticipated
direction, the long option becomes profitable, because as the stock
price moves, the option becomes increasingly valuable and you resell
it for a profit. But time is NOT on the call or put buyer's side,
because the option ceases to exist at expiration, and every day
the option loses a little bit of time value, which is known as time
decay. So if the stock moves the wrong
direction or just holds price, the long option
loses and at expiration you say goodbye to the premium you paid
for it. Right? Wrong. There is a technique for turning a losing
long option position into a winner, and it is known as spreading
the long option.
Suppose you paid $0.40 for a 22.50 Call
on a $20 stock. The stock's price fails to make the expected
advance and even falls a bit. What do you do then? Some traders
would simply watch the call expire worthless. Most traders would
sell off the call, getting what they could for it. As the stock
price drops, the price of the call will drop, also - in addition
to the loss from time decay. Selling off the call ameliorates the
loss somewhat, but still leaves you with a loss.
Let's say the stock has dropped and your signals
indicate a continuing decline. Perhaps the overall market is declining.
The stock's bullish outlook has turned bearish, and your
bullish long call position on the stock will lose. Here is an
alternative: you keep the 22.50 Call and sell
a call option with a lower strike price - in this case
the 20 Call - on the underlying stock. Of course, you receive
more for selling the 20 Call than you paid to buy the 22.50 Call.
Selling the 20 Call does four things:
1) puts money in your jeans, since
selling the call now generates a net credit;
2) turns the bullish long-call strategy
(that is sure to lose) into a bearish
spread strategy;
3) makes time decay work
in your favor, since you now want expiration to occur and lock
in your profit; and
4) turns a losing trade into a winning
trade!
This new position, known as a bear
call spread, will win if at expiration the stock is at
or below the strike of the call you sold. So if you sold
the 20 Call, the new spread trade will win if the stock is at or
below $20 at expiration, because you keep the net credit generated
by selling the call. Remember that time decay is now working
in your favor. Don't sell a strike that is in the money,
unless the stock is dropping and you are very sure of your analysis,
since you will likely be called out of the short strike sold if
it is in the money at expiration even a little. But selling the
20 Call in the above example might be fairly safe, since the stock
already has dropped below $20. The bear call spread involves a small
risk, but in the above example, the long call was a sure loser,
anyway. This position is known as a bear call spread because it
wins if the stock holds price or drops and thus is neutral to bearish.
If this situation happens to you, don't hesitate
to sell the lower strike call and spread that long call.
The above strategy works in reverse, also,
when you've bought a put and the stock price is rising.
In that event, you keep the long put and simply sell
a put with a higher strike than the long put. This creates
a bull put spread, it generates
a net credit, turns a bearish position into a bullish one, starts
time decay working in your favor and turns a losing trade into a
winner. This position is known as a bull put spread because it wins
if the stock holds price or rises.
Let's say you bought the 17.50 Put when
the stock was $18, and the stock has now moved up to $20.
This is trouble, since the put gives you the right to sell ("put")
the stock to someone else at $17.50, which is not a profitable transaction
when the stock is trading at $20. Your strategy in buying the put
is now kaput, since it depended on the stock dropping below $17.50
in order to win. Consider selling the 20
Put for far more than you paid for the 17.50 Put. This
generates a net credit to you.
If you buy the 20 Put, here's what happens at expiration: if the
stock is at or above $20 at expiration, your trade wins, because
no holder of the 20 Put is going to exercise his put in order to
sell the stock to you at $20 when the market price is higher than
$20. For this reason, you cruise to expiration keeping the net credit
generated by spreading the long put.
The spreading strategy frees you to buy puts and calls. We know,
only 10% of stock options are ever exercised, which is an indicator
that few long options win. So what? Very few people ever exercise
an in-the-money option, but instead just flip (resell) the option,
which yields a better profit profile than exercising the option.
It is also a fact that 30% of options are settled out, meaning that
the holders either buy or sell the option in order to close their
short (or long) position. These facts are courtesy of CBOE.
| Using
the above spreading strategies, you can buy a call
or put
without fear, knowing that if the stock does not make the
anticipated move, you frequently can sell a lower-strike
call (or higher-strike put)
and turn a losing trade into a winner. |
The exact profitability of spreading long calls
and puts will depend on the underlying stock's implied volatility
(and therefore how fat the short strike's premium is at the time),
the stock's price in relation to the option you want to sell, and
the time remaining until expiration. It will not yield a worthwhile
profit in every situation and, because stocks can move unpredictably,
will not work in every circumstance. We also suggest some analysis
of the stock to try and determine if you simply called it wrong
(in which case, don't hesitate to spread the long option) or if
its price action is due to impending news, earnings about to be
reported, behavior of the stock's sector or similar factors. Creating
a spread involves risk, and the amount of the risk is equal
to the amount of the spread (difference between long and short strikes)
less the net credit received. In the above examples, the risk would
be $2.50 (difference between 17.50/20 and 20/22.50 strikes), less
the net credit generated. However, at the point you spread the long
option, you probably have more insight into the movement of the
market and the underlying stock than when you bought the option
originally!
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